Recently I stumbled over an interesting calculator at NYT which compares the costs of renting and buying equivalent homes at today’s date.
Let’s face it, the economic drop has pushed the prices to an lower point, but I still don’t think we’re not quite yet at the bottom. Taking it from another point of view, an historical chart of the housing values back from the 1890’s and to the point where the market hit top – we get a clear view of the uptrend situation till year 2006.
A pretty straight up trend rising about 83 percent from its low in 1997. As taken from the old saying “The trend is YOUR friend, till the trend ends” – making this picture a great view as a whole prospective. It wouldn’t be possible to continue an uprising trend like this, and it were only a matter of time before the trend had to reverse and take a dive back down.
I think the market will need a few years to really recover from this financial crises and we’ll likely have to wait some time before we’ll start seeing some good rising again.
For the last few years I’ve been an fan of renting thinking that I should avoid having a large sum of my net work tied up to some kind of housing speculative bobble soon to burst – I kept my focus on growing my portfolio and business instead.
On the other hand, when renting you’re building someone else’s equity and the time comes where you should consider start building your own. Renting costs has also raised, and will continue to do so as long as the economy crises continues.
Here’s how to measure the cost of renting and owning.
- Find a house for sale and a similar house for rent in a given area.
- Take the cost of buying the house and divide it by the annual cost (monthly rent x 12) of renting the similar house.
- What’s left is the price-rent ratio.
In the early ages of 70′s, 80′s and 90′s, we had an average of price rent ratio between 10 and 14, and by the time housing market hit top in 2006, the p/r ratio almost reached 19.
With price rent ratio around 20, to even 30 in some exclusive places the last years, we are hitting lower as the house prices keeps dropping and rent rising. Historically we’re still high, but seeing where the market has been a few years ago makes it a different view.
Being a long-term investment, owning a home, will be one of my list of things to accomplish within the next years to come. With renting continues rising it will be a wise thing to watch the p/r ratio.
Currently the p/r ratio in my area is a currently about 19, which I think is a little too much, but I’ll keep an eye up for changes happening.
Till then, we’ll have to keep the focus on thinking wise and growing our funds in a good effective way of investing.
A History of Home Values by Robert J. Shiller – NYT:

I hope you found this article helpful.
I’m also interested in knowing how the situation in your area of living is. Leave a comment below and we’ll share our view from different places around the world!
Recent Comments